Significant Errors Identified in the IPCC Reports
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Keywords

IPCC
carbon dioxide
ECS
logarithm
Sun
methane
Earth's energy balance

How to Cite

Significant Errors Identified in the IPCC Reports. (2025). Journal of Basic & Applied Sciences, 21, 167-175. https://doi.org/10.29169/1927-5129.2025.21.18

Abstract

Some countries are concerned about increasing levels of carbon dioxide (CO2) causing dangerous warming of the Earth, as promoted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). This is a mistake by the IPCC because the warming by CO2 is too small to measure. This study identifies six serious errors by applying critical thinking and the scientific method. For example, doubling the level of CO2, i.e., the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS), does not measurably affect the Earth’s temperature because the warming effect of carbon dioxide (CO2) is too small to measure. Thus, the plot of the warming effect of CO2 against the level, whether or not it is a straight line or logarithmic, is irrelevant. The Sun’s energy is the primary control of Earth’s temperature. However, there is some energy input from the ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation). Thus, the Earth's temperature drops when the Sun’s energy output falls, as it is currently doing. The IPCC overestimates the warming impact of methane and nitrous oxide, both of which have a negligible warming effect. The Earth’s energy balance is incorrect because it is based on averages, and the amount of energy to evaporate water must equal the amount sent to space. It is recommended that people and their governments know about these errors and take appropriate action.

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